Exmouth Town vs Kidlington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exmouth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EXM
0 - 2
BFC
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
EXM
3 - 0
POO
17%
17%
66%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
MAF
4 - 1
EXM
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
EXM
1 - 2
PAU
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 0
EXM
58%
21%
22%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kidlington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KID
0 - 4
YAT
37%
25%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KID
2 - 0
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
KID
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 4
KID
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KID
4 - 1
LEI
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |