Exeter City vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
EXE
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PLY
3 - 0
EXE
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
EXE
0 - 2
BOU
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 1
OPA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
WES
0 - 1
EXE
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
YOR
2 - 2
CAM
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
YOR
1 - 1
NOR
45%
29%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
YOR
0 - 1
DON
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 1
YOR
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
FLE
0 - 0
YOR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |