Exeter City vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
HAL
1 - 1
EXE
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
EXE
1 - 3
HUL
37%
31%
32%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
EXE
0 - 0
LIN
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
SCU
0 - 2
EXE
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
EXE
0 - 0
HAL
45%
27%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
PNE
1 - 1
WAL
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
WAL
2 - 1
WBA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 3
WAL
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
WAL
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
WAL
2 - 1
BRO
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |