Exeter City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 2
EXE
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EXE
1 - 2
POS
22%
24%
55%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
EXE
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
EXE
26%
23%
51%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EXE
1 - 0
ROT
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 0
SWI
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
0 - 4
WAL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
4 - 2
SWI
63%
19%
18%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWI
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |