Exeter City vs Stockport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
WOK
0 - 2
EXE
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
EXE
1 - 2
RFC
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 2
EXE
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
EXE
1 - 1
NOR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
EXE
4 - 1
HAL
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
STO
2 - 0
LIN
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 0
STO
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 3
STO
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
STO
1 - 0
GUL
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 1
STO
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |