Exeter City vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HUR
2 - 0
EXE
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
EXE
3 - 2
BCF
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 1
EXE
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
EXE
2 - 1
SHW
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
BOU
2 - 0
EXE
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
HUR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
STE
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
STE
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
STE
0 - 0
TOT
14%
22%
63%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
SHW
0 - 1
STE
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |