Exeter City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
EXE
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SUN
6 - 3
EXE
74%
19%
8%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
EXE
0 - 0
YOR
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
DAG
1 - 2
EXE
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
EXE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 2
OPA
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 2
REA
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
3 - 3
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
OPA
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 2
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |