Exeter City vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
EXE
2 - 1
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 3
LIV
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PNE
1 - 0
EXE
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 2
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
EXE
0 - 2
MKD
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 1
CRE
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GIL
3 - 0
PLY
55%
26%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 2
AFC
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 4
ROT
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 1
MIL
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |