Exeter City vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EXE
2 - 2
HAR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 1
EXE
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 0
CAM
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
EXE
0 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
EXE
3 - 1
WHU
67%
19%
15%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
0 - 1
OXF
12%
17%
71%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 4
OXF
12%
21%
67%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 4
OXF
12%
18%
70%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HAY
0 - 2
OXF
6%
13%
81%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
OPA
1 - 1
OXF
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |