Exeter City vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
EXE
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 1
YOR
33%
28%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
EXE
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PLY
3 - 0
EXE
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
OXF
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
OXF
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
3 - 3
DAG
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
WBA
1 - 1
OXF
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 1
OPA
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |