National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Exeter City vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
EXE
2 - 1
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
STE
0 - 0
EXE
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
EXE
2 - 0
CAM
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
CRA
0 - 3
EXE
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
EXE
1 - 0
TAM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
YOR
1 - 0
OXF
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
OXF
2 - 0
RFC
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
STA
0 - 2
OXF
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
OXF
4 - 1
WEY
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 0
OXF
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |