Exeter City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
EXE
2 - 1
STE
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 1
EXE
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
EXE
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
EXE
0 - 0
COL
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
EXE
3 - 0
STE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 1
OLD
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
OLD
3 - 0
BRA
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
OLD
3 - 1
MAN
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
OLD
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |