Exeter City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2020 |
EXE
3 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
EXE
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
WAL
3 - 1
EXE
31%
26%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
EXE
1 - 1
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
EXE
1 - 1
CRA
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 3
NOR
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 2
CHE
38%
25%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 2
MAN
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GRI
0 - 3
NOR
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |