Exeter City vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 0
EXE
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
GIL
0 - 0
EXE
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
EXE
0 - 1
CHE
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
EXE
3 - 1
WYC
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
EXE
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TOW
0 - 4
NEW
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 2
OPA
23%
22%
55%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
TRA
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 3
SAL
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
NEW
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |