Exeter City vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 2
EXE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
DAG
1 - 1
EXE
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 2
WYC
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
EXE
2 - 1
YOR
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
EXE
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 3
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SCU
1 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
WBA
3 - 0
NEW
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DAG
1 - 1
NEW
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |