FA Cup Last 16
Global 5-1
Exeter City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
LIV
2 - 0
EXE
94%
5%
1%
|
50 | 93 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
EXE
0 - 2
WAT
51%
21%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
EXE
2 - 1
BOL
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1931 |
EXE
2 - 4
SUN
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
SUN
1 - 1
EXE
91%
6%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
NEW
1 - 0
QPR
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
NEW
2 - 1
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
LUT
0 - 1
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
WRE
0 - 0
NEW
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1980 |
NEW
0 - 2
DER
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |