Exeter City vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
EXE
1 - 2
CRY
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
EXE
3 - 3
GUL
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
EXE
2 - 2
SHE
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CUM
4 - 1
EXE
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EXE
4 - 2
WAL
39%
27%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BPO
1 - 2
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
CUM
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
SHE
20%
24%
57%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
BOL
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
BCF
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |