Exeter City vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 0
NOR
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
YEO
0 - 2
EXE
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
EXE
2 - 1
PLY
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
EXE
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
5 - 0
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 2
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 2
NOR
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
WYC
1 - 0
MAN
59%
24%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |