FA Cup 1/32
Global 0-2
Exeter City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
61.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
0 - 0
EXE
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 93 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
HER
1 - 2
EXE
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
TAM
1 - 2
EXE
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
EXE
4 - 0
HER
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
EXE
3 - 1
SCA
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 1
MUD
24%
27%
49%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
46%
26%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
0 - 0
EXE
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
0 - 0
TOT
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MID
0 - 2
MUD
23%
25%
52%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |