Exeter City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OXF
3 - 0
EXE
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EXE
0 - 9
REA
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EXE
1 - 0
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
EXE
1 - 2
LEY
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 1
EXE
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LUT
1 - 1
WOL
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FUL
1 - 0
LUT
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
LUT
1 - 2
WHU
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
LUT
3 - 2
GIL
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
CHL
3 - 0
LUT
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |