EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-6
Exeter City vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
53.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
SWA
2 - 0
EXE
50%
27%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
EXE
1 - 3
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1998 |
LIN
2 - 1
EXE
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
ROC
3 - 0
EXE
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
EXE
1 - 0
CAM
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
GRI
0 - 0
IPS
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
IPS
3 - 2
CRE
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1998 |
IPS
2 - 0
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
BCF
0 - 1
IPS
22%
28%
50%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
IPS
5 - 1
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |