Exeter City vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
62.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 2
EXE
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 1
CRA
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 2
HAR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 0
BRE
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BPO
2 - 0
EXE
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SWA
0 - 2
HUL
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HUL
2 - 1
LEI
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HUL
1 - 2
TOR
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
RIZ
1 - 3
HUL
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NTT
1 - 2
HUL
30%
26%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |