Exeter City vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
EXE
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXE
0 - 1
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
EXE
1 - 4
LUT
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
WYC
0 - 0
EXE
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CUM
0 - 1
EXE
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
HEY
2 - 1
TON
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TON
3 - 3
HEY
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 2
HEY
17%
18%
64%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
HEY
6 - 0
HER
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 4
HEY
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |