Exeter City vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 0
BRE
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BPO
2 - 0
EXE
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
EXE
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 2
EXE
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 0
BUR
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
PNE
1 - 0
HAR
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
COL
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 3
SUN
9%
17%
75%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PLY
5 - 0
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
OPA
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |