Exeter City vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
EXE
4 - 0
LEY
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
EXE
2 - 0
OPA
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
EXE
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SUN
6 - 3
EXE
74%
19%
8%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
EXE
0 - 0
YOR
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
WYC
2 - 1
HAR
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
SHE
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 3
CUM
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 4
BOU
9%
17%
73%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STE
2 - 0
HAR
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |