Exeter City vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
COV
3 - 1
EXE
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
DAG
1 - 2
EXE
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
EXE
2 - 1
BCF
27%
28%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 2
EXE
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 2
EXE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
SHE
13%
22%
65%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 3
CUM
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 0
OPA
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PLY
2 - 0
HAR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
5 - 1
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |