Exeter City vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LEY
1 - 1
EXE
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
EXE
0 - 0
GUL
41%
28%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 1
EXE
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
EXE
1 - 1
LIN
50%
25%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BRO
0 - 0
EXE
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
HAR
7 - 1
SWA
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
HAL
0 - 2
HAR
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
HAR
1 - 0
PLY
45%
25%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
OXF
1 - 2
HAR
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
HAR
1 - 2
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |