FA Cup 1/32
Global 0-1
Exeter City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
HUL
4 - 0
EXE
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
EXE
3 - 2
GUL
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
EXE
1 - 2
NOR
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
EXE
2 - 0
ALD
57%
22%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
HAL
1 - 0
EXE
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
MUD
5 - 1
EVE
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
MID
2 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |