Exeter City vs Doncaster Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
EXE
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
EXE
5 - 1
LEI
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
EXE
1 - 0
GRI
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
STA
0 - 0
EXE
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
EXE
1 - 2
SWI
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 1
DON
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
DON
3 - 1
STO
61%
22%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
TIV
1 - 3
DON
9%
17%
74%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
DON
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
DON
39%
26%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |