Exeter City vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
EXE
2 - 1
CHE
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
EXE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 3
EXE
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
EXE
2 - 1
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 2
EXE
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 2
COV
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
CRA
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
SWI
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 1
CRA
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 5
CHE
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |