Exeter City vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 2
HAR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 0
BRE
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BPO
2 - 0
EXE
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
EXE
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 2
EXE
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DON
1 - 1
CRA
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
WOL
2 - 1
CRA
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
WYC
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 0
CRA
43%
26%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
LEW
1 - 3
CRA
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |