Exeter City vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXE
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 3
EXE
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
EXE
0 - 0
GRI
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BCF
0 - 1
EXE
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
EXE
3 - 0
GIL
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 1
NOT
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
5 - 1
ALD
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 2
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |