Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 0
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 3
EXE
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
OLD
0 - 0
EXE
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 1
SWI
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
COV
4 - 1
EXE
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
CHE
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 2
SWI
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 0
CUM
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
BRO
3 - 0
CHE
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |