Exeter City vs Chelsea U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 4
EXE
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 0
GRI
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
WYC
1 - 0
EXE
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 2
NOT
51%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
STE
0 - 2
EXE
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
SWI
2 - 1
CHE
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
NUR
4 - 2
CHE
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 5
CHE
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |