Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
EXE
2 - 3
BPO
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 0
EXE
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 2
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
EXE
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
GRI
0 - 0
EXE
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRO
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BPO
0 - 3
BRO
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRO
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 0
AFC
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BRO
0 - 0
OXF
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |