FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-2
Exeter City vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
EXE
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
EXE
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 1
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 1
OLD
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
EXE
5 - 3
BRO
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 1
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 1
BRA
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOR
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRA
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |