EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-5
Exeter City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
EXE
3 - 1
ROT
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 2
EXE
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
BIR
3 - 0
EXE
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
EXE
1 - 0
HUL
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
EXE
2 - 1
HAL
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
BIR
4 - 2
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
NOR
0 - 1
BIR
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
BIR
3 - 0
EXE
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
BIR
2 - 2
FUL
50%
27%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 1
BIR
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -2 |