Exeter City vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EXE
3 - 0
BUR
55%
22%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
EXE
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 2
EXE
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
EXE
0 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
EXE
1 - 2
CRY
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FLE
4 - 1
ALD
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 1
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 2
EXE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PLY
0 - 2
ALD
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 1
ALD
82%
13%
6%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |