Exeter City vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 1
GUL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
GUL
1 - 1
EXE
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
EXE
3 - 0
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
1 - 2
EXE
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WYC
0 - 1
EXE
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MID
2 - 1
ALD
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 2
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 0
ALD
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
3 - 1
ROT
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |