Exeter City vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 3
EXE
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
YOR
0 - 0
EXE
39%
28%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 3
PLY
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 0
EXE
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
EXE
2 - 2
CAM
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
YOR
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 0
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 0
AFC
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
3 - 2
LUT
38%
27%
34%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |