Exeter City vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LUT
1 - 2
EXE
42%
25%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
STF
1 - 1
EXE
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
EXE
2 - 0
DAR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 0
EXE
20%
25%
56%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
EXE
3 - 2
ALD
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BOU
0 - 0
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 0
ALD
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GIL
1 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
DAG
0 - 1
BOU
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
BOU
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |