Exeter City vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
CRA
3 - 1
EXE
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 0
EXE
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
EXE
2 - 0
GRI
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
EXE
3 - 1
HEY
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
EXE
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
STA
1 - 0
WYC
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
NEW
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
GUI
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
STA
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
WIG
0 - 4
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |