Exeter City vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 1
EXE
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 0
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
STE
1 - 0
EXE
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
EXE
2 - 0
CUM
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 1
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
YOR
1 - 0
STA
39%
28%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
STA
1 - 1
WYC
39%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
YEO
2 - 0
STA
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
OPA
2 - 3
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
STA
1 - 1
YEO
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |