Exeter City vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 3
EXE
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 0
ALD
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 1
GUL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
GUL
1 - 1
EXE
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
EXE
3 - 0
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
STA
1 - 1
SOU
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
STA
71%
18%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
PLY
0 - 0
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
DAG
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |