Exeter City vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
TAM
2 - 1
EXE
31%
25%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
EXE
1 - 2
WOK
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
3 - 2
EXE
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
STF
2 - 2
EXE
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
EXE
3 - 2
LEI
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
STA
3 - 3
EBB
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
SCA
2 - 1
STA
42%
26%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
STA
4 - 1
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
AFC
1 - 0
STA
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
STA
0 - 2
CHE
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |