Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
EXC
37%
29%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 2
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 1
EXC
47%
28%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 2
COM
35%
27%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
VSC
0 - 0
MOR
27%
28%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TAL
2 - 1
VSC
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
VSC
0 - 1
COL
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 0
VSC
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 3
VSC
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |