Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 1
ESP
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ITU
2 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 0
VIC
44%
24%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RPI
1 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 3
RPI
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 0
ITA
45%
26%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUJ
49%
25%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAF
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |