Excursionistas vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 1
ARM
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
EXC
42%
24%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
RPI
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
CAÑ
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
POR
0 - 3
RPI
26%
23%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
SMA
0 - 0
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
LUJ
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MER
3 - 2
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
LAF
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |