Excursionistas vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 1
EXC
34%
26%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 2
CCO
56%
23%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BER
2 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 0
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
VSC
0 - 1
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 2
POR
63%
21%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
CAÑ
59%
21%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MID
1 - 1
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
POR
2 - 3
SMA
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |