Excursionistas vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LAM
0 - 0
EXC
50%
27%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
CAM
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 3
TAL
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 2
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
CCO
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
LUJ
2 - 1
LAF
40%
29%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 0
LUJ
44%
28%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 1
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CCO
2 - 1
LUJ
29%
29%
43%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
LUJ
2 - 0
CCO
62%
24%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |